Bounded Rationality in Macroeconomics: The Arne Ryde Memorial LecturesClarendon Press, 1993 - 184 Seiten How do people behave in new situations in which previous experience is not useful? The recent changes in Eastern Europe, for example, are unprecedented and there is not an available model on which to base the mechanisms that will govern the economics in this region. The concept of "bounded (orlimited) rationality" is being developed to analyze behavior in such situations. In this book Thomas Sargent describes and interprets the recent work in the area, especially in statistics, econometrics, networks and artificial intelligence. He focuses on examples designed to illustrate the issuesinvolved and the kinds of questions that are being asked and answered in this research. He points to further potential positive developments of the theory as well as some of its limitations. |
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Seite 83
... models . The chapter is concluded with a brief description of how the machinery of stochastic approximation can be used to attain analytical results about the limiting behavior of such models . A model of Bray Margaret Bray ( 1982 ) studied ...
... models . The chapter is concluded with a brief description of how the machinery of stochastic approximation can be used to attain analytical results about the limiting behavior of such models . A model of Bray Margaret Bray ( 1982 ) studied ...
Seite 88
... Bray's model . The forecast ẞt on average underpredicts pt , but the under- prediction tends to diminish with time . Figure 2b . Simulation of pt ( dotted line ) and Eptz in Bray's model . over time . Figures 2a and 2b show how the ...
... Bray's model . The forecast ẞt on average underpredicts pt , but the under- prediction tends to diminish with time . Figure 2b . Simulation of pt ( dotted line ) and Eptz in Bray's model . over time . Figures 2a and 2b show how the ...
Seite 169
... model , count the number of additional free parameters that would be associated with implementing the model of Bray that appeared in Chapter 5. For a single- agent version of the model , one would add the parameter Bo characterizing ...
... model , count the number of additional free parameters that would be associated with implementing the model of Bray that appeared in Chapter 5. For a single- agent version of the model , one would add the parameter Bo characterizing ...
Inhalt
INTRODUCTION | 1 |
DATA STRUCTURES | 35 |
Estimated parameters | 45 |
Urheberrecht | |
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Bounded Rationality in Macroeconomics: The Arne Ryde Memorial Lectures Thomas J. Sargent Keine Leseprobe verfügbar - 1993 |
Häufige Begriffe und Wortgruppen
adaptive algorithms adaptive expectations applied economists Arifovic behavior beliefs bounded rationality boundedly rational agents Bray's model chapter Chung combinatorial optimization compute converges to rational decision rules deterministic system distribution dynamics 14 econometric econometricians Economic Dynamics eigenvalue environment equation example exchange rate fast adaptive agents Federal Reserve Figure fixed point forecast function G₁ genetic algorithm global implementation induce dynamics inflation rate iterate Journal of Economic Journal of Political Kiyotaki Kuan law of motion least squares learning linear macroeconomics Marcet and Sargent Marimon and Sunder matrix mean field dynamics Mean field theory methods for estimating Mimeo modulus Neural Networks Newton's method nonlinear parameters perceptron Peterson and Söderberg Phillips curve population price level rates of convergence rational expectations equilibrium rational expectations models recursive saving rates serial Sims Simulated anneal Söderberg describe solving stability stationary equilibrium stochastic approximation studied Sunspots theory time-invariant tions transient dynamics vector autoregression
Verweise auf dieses Buch
Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox Gerd Gigerenzer,Reinhard Selten Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2002 |