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fil: and in the mean time, this nation must necessarily supply them with the manufactures they consume; because the new settlers will be employed in agriculture; and the new settlements will so continually draw off the spare hands from the old, that our present colonies will not, during the period we have mentioned, find themselves in a condition to manufacture, even for their own inhabitants, to any considerable degree, much less for those who are settling behind them.

there is in the numbers of people, buildings, rents, and the value of land and of the produce of land; even if he goes back no farther than is within man's memory. Let him compare those countries with others on the same island, where manufactures have not yet extended themselves: observe the present difference, and reflect how much greater our strength may be (if numbers give strength) when our manufactures shall occupy every part of the island where they can possibly be subsisted.

But, say the objectors, "there is a certain distance from the sea, in America, beyond which the expense of carriage will put a stop to the sale and consumption of your manufactures; and this, with the difficulty of making returns for them, will oblige the inhabitants to manufacture for themselves; of course, if you suffer your people to extend their settlements beyond that distance, your people become useless to you :" and this distance is limited by some to two hundred miles, by others to the Apalachian mountains.-Not to insist on a plain truth, that no part of a dominion, from whence a govern

Thus our trade must, till that country becomes as fully peopled as England (that is for centuries to come) be continually increasing, and with it our naval power; because the ocean is between us and them, and our ships and seamen must increase as that trade increases.-The human body and the political differ in this; that the first is limited by nature to a certain stature, which, when attained, it cannot ordinarily exceed: the other, by better government and more prudent policy, as well as by the change of manners and other circumstances, often takes fresh starts of growth, after being long at a stand; and may add tenfold to the dimensions it had for ages been confined to. The moment may on occasion draw supplies and ther, being of full stature, is in a few years equalled by a growing daughter: but in the case of a mother-country and her colonies, it is quite different. The growth of the children tends to increase the growth of the mother, and so the difference and superiority is longer preserved. Were the inhabitants of this island limited to their present number by any thing in nature, or by unchangeable circumstances, the equality of population between the two countries might indeed sooner come to pass but sure experience, in those parts of the island where manufactures have been introduced, teaches us-that people increase and multiply in proportion as the means and facility of gaining a livelihood increase: and that this island, if they could be employed, is capable of supporting ten times its present number of people. In proportion, therefore, as the demand increases for the manufactures of Britain, by the increase of people in her colonies, the number of her people at home will increase; and with them, the strength as well as the wealth of the nation. For satisfaction in this point, let the reader compare in his mind the number and force of our present fleets, with our fleet in queen Elizabeth's time,* before we had colonies. Let him compare the ancient, with the present state of our towns on or near our western coast (Manchester, Liverpool, Kendal, Lancaster, Glasgow, and the countries round them) that trade with any manufactures for our colonies (not to mention Leeds, Halifax, Sheffield, and Birmingham,) and consider what a difference

* Viz. forty sail, none of more than forty guns.

aids both of men and money (though at too great a distance to be supplied with manufactures from some other part) is therefore to be deemed useless to the whole; I shall endeavour to show, that these imaginary limits of utility, even in point of commerce, are much too narrow. The inland parts of the continent of Europe are farther from the sea, than the limits of settlement proposed for America. Germany is full of tradesmen and artificers of all kinds, and the governments there are not all of them always favourable to the commerce of Britain; yet it is a wellknown fact, that our manufactures find their way even into the heart of Germany. Ask the great manufacturers and merchants of the Leeds, Sheffield, Birmingham, Manchester, and Norwich goods; and they will tell you, that some of them send their riders frequently through France or Spain, and Italy, up to Vienna, and back through the middle and northern parts of Germany, to show samples of their wares, and collect orders, which they receive by almost every mail, to a vast amount. Whatever charges arise on the carriage of goods are added to the value, and all paid by the consumer. If these nations, over whom we can have no government, over whose consumption we can have no influence, but what arises from the cheapness and goodness of our wares, whose trade, manufactures, or commercial connexions are not subject to the control of our laws, as those of our colonies certainly are in some degree; I say, if these nations purchase and consume such quantities of our goods, notwithstanding the remoteness of their situation from the sea; how much less

sea-ports from interior America, will not seem incredible, when we reflect, that hemp for merly came from the Ukraine and most southern parts of Russia to Wologda, and down the Dwina to Archangel; and thence, by a perilous navigation, round the North Cape to England, and other parts of Europe. It now comes from the same country up the Dnieper, and down the Duna,* with much land-carriage. Great part of the Russia iron, no high priced commodity, is brought three hundred miles by land and water from the heart of Siberia. Furs [the produce too of America] are brought to Amsterdam from all parts of Siberia, even the most remote, Kamstchatka. The same country furnishes me with another instance of extended inland commerce. It is found worth while to keep up a mercantile communication between Pekin in China, and Peters

likely is it that the settlers in America, who must for ages be employed in agriculture chiefly, should make cheaper for themselves the goods our manufactures at present supply them with; even if we suppose the carriage five, six, or seven hundred miles from the sea as difficult and expensive, as the like distance into Germany: whereas in the latter, the natural distances are frequently doubled by political obstructions; I mean the intermixed territories and clashing interests of princes.* But when we consider, that the inland parts of America are penetrated by great navigable rivers: and there are a number of great lakes, communicating with each other, with those rivers, and with the sea, very small portages here and there excepted; that the seacoasts (if one may be allowed the expression) of those lakes only, amount at least to two thousand seven hundred miles, exclusive of the ri-burgh. And none of these instances of invers running into them (many of which are navigable to a great extent for boats and canoes, through vast tracts of country;) how little likely is it, that the expense on the carriage of our goods into those countries should prevent the use of them. If the poor Indians in those remote parts are now able to pay for the linen, woollen, and iron wares they are at present furnished with by the French and English traders (though Indians have nothing but what they get by hunting, and the goods are loaded with all the impositions fraud and knavery can contrive to enhance their value) will not industrious English farmers, hereafter settled in those countries, be much better able to pay for what shall be brought them in the way of fair commerce.

If it is asked, What can such farmers raise, wherewith to pay for the manufactures they may want from us? I answer, that the inland parts of America in question are well known to be fitted for the production of hemp, flax, potash, and above all, silk; the southern parts may produce olive oil, raisins, currants, indigo, and cochineal. Not to mention horses and black cattle, which may easily be driven to the maritime markets, and at the same time assist in conveying other commodities. That the commodities first mentioned may easily, by water and land carriage, be brought to the

Sir C. Whitworth has the following assertion: "Each state in Germany is jealous of its neighbours; and hence, rather than facilitate the export or transmit of its neighbour's products or manufactures, they have all recourse to strangers." State of Trade, p. xxiv. † From New York into lake Ontario, the land-car

land commerce exceed those of the courses by which, at several periods, the whole of the trade of the East was carried on. Before the prosperity of the Mameluke dominion in Egypt, fixed the staple for the riches of the East at Cairo and Alexandria (whither they were brought from the Red Sea) great part of those commodities were carried to the cities of Cashgar and Balk. (This gave birth to many towns, that still subsist upon the remains of their ancient opulence, amidst a people and country equally wild.) From thence those goods were carried down the Amû (the ancient Oxus) to the Caspian Sea, and up the Wolga to Astrachan; from whence they were carried over to, and down the Don, to the mouth of that river; and thence again the Venetians directly, and the Genoese and Venetians indirectly (by way of Kaffa and Trebisonde) dispersed them through the Mediterranean and some other parts of Europe. Another part of those goods was carried over land from the Wolga to the river Duna and Neva; from both they were carried to the city of Wisbuy in the Baltic (so eminent for its sea-laws ;) and from the city of Ladoga on the Neva, we are told they were even carried by the Dwina to Archangel; and from thence round the North Cape.-If iron and hemp will bear the charge of carriage from this inland country, other metals will, as well as iron; and certainly silk, since 3d. per lb. is not above 1 per cent. on the value, and amounts to 281. per ton. If the growths of a country find their way out of it; the manufactures of the country where they go will infallibly find their way into it.

They, who understood the economy and

riage of the several portages altogether, amounts to but about twenty-seven miles. From lake Ontario into lake Erie, the land-carriage at Niagara is but about twelve miles. All the lakes above Niagara com. municate by navigable straits, so that no land-carriage is necessary, to go out of one into another. From *The reader will not confound the river Duna with Presqu'isle on lake Erie, there are but fifteen miles the river Dwina.-The fork of the Ohio is about four land-carriage, and that a good wagon road, to Beef hundred miles distant from the sea, and the fork of the River, a branch of the Ohio; which brings you into a Mississippi about nine hundred: it is four hundred navigation of many thousand miles inland, if you take miles from Petersburgh to Moscow, and very consitogether the Ohio, the Mississippi, and all the great riderably more than four thousand from Petersburgh to vers and branches that run into them. Pekin.

facturers into different parts of Christendom. The former conquests of its provinces, had before done the same. The loss of liberty in Verona, Milan, Florence, Pisa, Pistoia, and other great cities of Italy, drove the manufacturers of woollen clothes into Spain and Flanders. The latter first lost their trade and manufactures to Antwerp and the cities of

religion, they were sent into Holland and England: while the civil wars, during the minority of Charles the First of Spain, which ended in the loss of the liberty of their great towns, ended too in the loss of the manufactures of Toledo, Segovia, Salamanca, Medina del Campo, &c. The revocation of the edict of Nantes communicated, to all the protestant part of Europe, the paper, silk, and other valuable manufactures of France; almost peculiar at that time to that country, and till then in vain attempted elsewhere. To be convinced, that it is not soil and climate, nor even freedom from taxes, that determines the resi

our eyes on Holland; where a multitude of manufacturers are still carried on (perhaps more than on the same extent of territory any where in Europe) and sold on terms upon which they cannot be had in any other part of the world. And this too is true of those growths, which, by their nature and the labour required to raise them, come the nearest to manufactures.

principles of manufactures, know, that it is impossible to establish them in places not populous and even in those that are populous, hardly possible to establish them to the prejudices of the places already in possession of them. Several attempts have been made in France and Spain, countenanced by government, to draw from us, and establish in those countries, our hardware and woollen manu-Brabant; from whence, by persecution for factures; but without success. The reasons are various. A manufacture is part of a great system of commerce, which takes in conveniences of various kinds; methods of providing materials of all sorts, machines for expediting and facilitating labour, all the channels of correspondence for vending the wares, the credit and confidence necessary to found and support this correspondence, the mutual aid of different artizans, and a thousand other particulars, which time and long experience have gradually established. A part of such a system cannot support itself without the whole and before the whole can be obtained the part perishes. Manufactures, where theydence of manufacturers, we need only turn are in perfection, are carried on by a multiplicity of hands, each of which is expert only in his own part; no one of them a master of the whole; and, if by any means spirited away to a foreign country, he is lost without his fellows. Then it is a matter of the extremest difficulty to persuade a complete set of workmen, skilled in all parts of a manufactory, to leave their country together, and settle in a foreign land. Some of the idle and drunken As to the common-place objection to the may be enticed away; but these only disap- North American settlements, that they are point their employers, and serve to discourage in the same climate, and their produce the the undertaking. If by royal munificence, same as that of England;-in the first place and an expense that the profits of the trade it is not true; it is particularly not so of the alone would not bear, a complete set of good countries now likely to be added to our setand skilful hands are collected and carried tlements; and of our present colonies, the proover, they find so much of the system imper-ducts, lumber, tobacco, rice, and indigo, great fect, many things wanting to carry on the trade to advantage, so many difficulties to overcome, and the knot of hands so easily broken by death, dissatisfaction, and desertion; that they and their employers are discouraged together, and the project vanishes into smoke. Hence it happens, that established manufactures are hardly ever lost, but by foreign conquest, or by some eminent interior fault in manners or government; a bad police oppress-gether. ing and discouraging the workmen, or religious persecutions driving the sober and industrious out of the country. There is, in short, scarce a single instance in history of the contrary, where manufactures have once taken firm root. They sometimes start up in a new place; but are generally supported, like exotic plants, at more expense than they are worth for any thing but curiosity; until these new seats become the refuge of the manufactures driven from the old ones. The conquest of Constantinople, and final reduction of the Greek empire, dispersed many curious manu

articles of commerce, do not interfere with the products of England: in the next place, a man must know very little of the trade of the world, who does not know, that the greater part of it is carried on between countries. whose climates differ very little. Even the trade between the different parts of these British islands is greatly superior to that between England and all the West India Islands put to

If I have been successful in proving that a considerable commerce may and will subsist between us and our future most inland settlements in North America, notwithstanding their distance; I have more than half proved no other inconveniency will arise from their distance. Many men in such a country must "know," must "think," and must "care" about the country they chiefly trade with. The juridical and other connexions of government are yet a faster hold than even commercial ties, and spread, directly and indirectly, far and wide. Business to be solicited

200

and causes depending create a great inter- in North America should reside much in Eng-
course, even where private property is not land; it is what may surely be expected, as
divided in different countries;-yet this divi- fast as such fortunes are acquired there.
sion will always subsist, where different coun- Their having "colleges of their own for the
tries are ruled by the same government. education of their youth," will not prevent it;
Where a man has landed property both in the a little knowledge and learning acquired in-
mother-country and the province, he will al-creases the appetite for more, and will make
most always live in the mother-country; this,
though there were no trade, is singly a suffi-
cient gain. It is said, that Ireland pays near
a million sterling annually to its absentees in
England: the balance of trade from Spain,
or even Portugal, is scarcely equal to this.

the conversation of the learned on this side the water more strongly desired. Ireland has its university likewise; yet this does not prevent the immense pecuniary benefit we receive from that kingdom. And there will always be, in the conveniencies of life, the politeness, the pleasures, the magnificence of the reigning country, many other attractions besides those of learning, to draw men of substance there, where they can (apparently at least) have the best bargain of happiness for their money.

Our trade to the West India islands, is undoubtedly a valuable one; but whatever is the amount of it, it has long been at a stand. Limited as our sugar planters are by the scantiness of territory, they cannot increase much beyond their present number; and this is an evil, as I shall show hereafter, that will be little helped by our keeping Guadaloupe. -The trade to our Northern colonies is not only greater, but yearly increasing with the increase of people: and even in a greater proportion as the people increase in wealth and the ability of spending, as well as in numbers.*

Let it not be said we have no absentees from North America. There are many, to the writer's knowledge; and if there are at present but few of them, that distinguish themselves here by great expense, it is owing to the mediocrity of fortune among the inhabitants of the Northern colonies, and a more equal division of landed property, than in the West India islands, so that there are as yet but few large estates. But if those, who have such estates, reside upon and take care of them themselves, are they worse subjects than they would be if they lived idly in England? Great merit is assumed for the gentlemen of the West Indies, on the score of their residing and spending their money in England. I would not depreciate that merit; it is considerable; for they might, if they pleased, spend their money in France: but the difference between their spending it here and at home is not so great. What do they spend it in when they are here, but the produce and manufactures of this country-and would they not do the same if they were at home? Is it of any great importance to the English farmer, whether the West Indian gentleman comes to London and eats his beef, pork, and tongues, fresh; or has them brought to him in the West Indies salted? Whether he eats his English cheese and butter, or drinks his English ale, at London or in Barbadoes? Is the clothier's, or the mercer's, or the cutler's, or the toyman's profit less, for their goods being worn and consumed by the same persons residing on the other side of the ocean? Would not the profits of the merchant and mariner be rather greater, and some addition made to our navigation, ships, and seamen? If the North American gentleman stays in his own country, and lives there in that degree of luxury and expense with regard to the use of British manufactures, that his fortune enables him to do; may not his example (from the imitation of superiors, so natural to man- In the first term, total of West In- 3,363,337 10 10 kind) spread the use of those manufactures among hundreds of families around him, and occasion a much greater demand for them, than it would do if he should remove and live in London? However this may be, if in our views of immediate advantage, it seems preferable, that the gentlemen of large fortunes

*The author afterwards obtained accounts of the exports of North America, and the West India islands; by which it appeared that there had been some increase though in a much less degree. The following extract from these accounts will show the amount of the exterms taken at ten years distance, to show the increase, ports to each, in two different terms of five years; the viz.

of trade to those islands, as well as to North America,

West India Islands. .£796,112 17 9

First term, from 1744 to 1748, inclusive.
Northern Colonies.
1744....£640,114 12 4....
1745..... .534,316 2 5..
1746.. .754,945 4 3.
1747......726,648 5 5.
1748 ..830,243 16 9..

..503,669 199

.472,994 16 7

.856,463 18 6

.734,095 15 3

Total, £3,486,261 1 2 Total, £3,353,337 10 10
Difference, 122,930 10 4

Second term, from 1754 to 1758, inclusive.
Northern Colonies.

1754......1,246,615 1 11..

1755......1,177,848 6 10.
1756......1,428,720 18 10.
1757......1,727,924 2 10.
1758......1,832,948 13 10.

Total, £7,414 057 4 3

dia islands,

£3,486,268 1 2

West India Islands.

.685,675 3 0

.694,667 13 3

.733,458 16 3

.776,488 0 6

.877,571 19 11

Total £3,767,841 12 11 Difference, 3,646,215 11 4

In the second term, ditto.......

£7,414,057 4 3

-3,767,841 12 11 Increase, only £404,504 2 1

In the first term, total for North 3,486,268 1 2

ern Colonies,

In the second term, ditto..

..7,414,057 4 3

Increase, £3,927,789 3 1

I have already said, that our people in the northern colonies double in about 25 years, exclusive of the accession of strangers. That I speak within bounds, I appeal to the authentic accounts frequently required by the board of trade, and transmitted to that board by the respective governors; of which accounts I shall select one as a sample, being that from the colony of Rhode Island* a colony that of all the others receives the least addition from strangers. For the increase of our trade to those colonies, I refer to the accounts frequently laid before parliament, by the officers of the customs, and to the custom-house books: from which I have also selected one account,* that of the trade from England exclusive of By these accounts it appears, that the exports to the West India Islands, and to the northern colonies, were in the first term nearly equal (the difference being only 122,9367. 10s. 4d,) and in the second term, the exports to those islands had only increased 404,5047. 28. 1d. -Whereas the increase to the northern colonies is 3,927,7891. 38. Id, almost four millions.

Some part of this increased demand for English goods may be ascribed to the armies and fleets we have had both in North America and the West Indies; and so much for what is consumed by the soldiery; their cloth ing, stores, ammunition, &c., sent from hence on account of the government, being (as is supposed) not including in these accounts of merchandise exported; but as the war has occasioned a great plenty of money in America, many of the inhabitants have increased their expense.

N. B. These accounts do not include any exports from Scotland to America, which are doubtless proportionably considerable; nor the exports from Ireland.

This is calculation carried on from where Dr. Frank

lin left it. For four years, from 1770 to 1773 inclusively, the same average annual exports to the same ports of

the West Indies is 994.4637, and to the same ports of the North American plantations 2,919,6691 But the an. nual averages of the first and second terms of the for

mer were 672,663. and 753,5681. of the latter, 697,2541.

and 1,482,8117.

In ten years therefore (taking the middle years of the terms) the North American trade is found to have doubled the West Indian; in the next sixteen years it becomes greater by three fold.--With respect to itself, the North American trade in 32 years (taking the extremes of the terms) had quadrupled: while the West Indian trade increased only one half; of which increase Jamaica alone gave something more than one third, chiefly in consequence of the quiet produced by the peace with the Maroon negroes. Had the West Indian trade continued stationary, the North American trade would have quadrupled with respect to it, in 26 years; and this, notwithstanding the checks given to the latter, by their non-importation agreements and the encourage

ment of their own manufactures.

There had been an accession to both these trades, produced by the cessions at the treaty of Paris, not touched upon by Dr. Franklin. The average annual export trade, from 1770 to 1773 inclusively, to the ceded

West India Islands, amounted to 258,2997. to the ceded North American territory it had been 280,4231. See Sir Charles Whitworth's State of Trade.

* Copy of the report of governor Hopkins to the board of trade, on the numbers of people in Rhode Island. In obedience to your lordship's commands, I have caused the within account to be taken by officers under oath. By it there appears to be in this colony at this time 35,939 white persons, and 4697 blacks, chiefly negroes.

In the year 1730, by order of the then lords commissioners of trade and plantations, an account was taken of the number of people in this colony, and then there appeared to be 15,302 white persons, and 2633 blacks. Again in the year 1748, by like order, an account was taken of the number of people in this colony, by which it appears there were at that time 29,755 white persons and 4373 blacks. STEPHEN HOPKINS.

Colony of Rhode Island, Dec. 24, 1755.
VOL. II.... 2 C

Scotland) to Pennsylvania;* a colony most remarkable for the plain frugal manner of living of its inhabitants, and the most suspected of carrying on manufactures, on account of the number of German artizans, who are known to have transplanted themselves into that country; though even these, in truth, when they come there, generally apply themselves to agriculture, as the surest support and most advantageous employment. By this account it appears, that the exports to that province have in 28 years, increased nearly in the proportion of 17 to 1; whereas the people themselves, who by other authentic accounts appear to double their numbers (the strangers who settle there included) in about 16 years, cannot in the 28 years have increased in a greater proportion than as 4 to 1. The additional demand then, and consumption of goods from England, of 13 parts in 17 more than the additional number would require, must be owing to this; that the people having by their industry mended their circumstances, are enabled to indulge themselves in finer clothes, better furniture, and a more general use of all our manufactures than heretofore.

In fact, the occasion for English goods in North America, and the inclination to have and use them, is, and must be for ages to come, much greater than the ability of the people to pay for them; they must therefore, as they now do, deny themselves many things they would otherwise choose to have, or increase their industry to obtain them. And thus, if they should at any time manufacture some coarse article, which on account of its bulk or some other circumstance, cannot so well be brought to them from Britain; it only enables them the better to pay for finer goods, that otherwise they could not indulge themselves in: so that the exports thither are not diminished by such manufacture, but rather increased. The single article of manufacture in these colonies, mentioned by the remarker, is hats made in New England. It is true, there have been, ever since the first settlement of that country, a few hatters there; drawn thither probably at first by the facility of getting beaver, while the woods were but

* An account of the value of the exports from England ta Pennsylvania, in one year, taken at different periods,

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